A good Scrum team does not systematically over-commit. It doesn’t under-commit either – not one single response indicated that the team usually delivered more that 110% of its commitment. By this definition, 32% of the respondents are “successful” while 68% are “improvable”.
Let’s take a closer look at Team Size, Story Size and Sprint Duration and how the relate to relate to successfully completing the a Scrum Sprint.
Team Size and Sprint Duration
Two week sprints are by far the most popular with 50 respondents, and the distribution of on the number of stories committed to each sprint looks pretty much like a bell curve centered around 6 stories/sprints. Three week sprints a relatively popular – 17 responses – but the volume of data is probably too small for a curve to form. With a total of 13 responses, it’s unlikely that the data for 1-week and 4-week sprints is at all representative.
Having analyzed the data, I think the survey would be much useful if there were a factor of 10 more data points – 800 to 1000 would be really good. Still, looking at this data, some trends are taking shape:
P.S. Does anybody with substantial readership think this study was cool and useful? I would love to repeat it with the goal of substantially higher feedback and see the trends become more apparent. Please contact me!
The story size poll is still active – I’ll keep an I eye on it and when I get 200 responses, I’ll evaluate the data again. Presently I have 85.